
Capacity fears as US drayage rates are buoyed by converging trends
Concerns are rising in the US about drayage capacity and pricing, as a convergence of factors is producing signs of mounting strain.
The situation has come to the fore in recent earnings calls of trucking and intermodal service providers. Jim filter, president and CEO of Schneider, claimed drayage was the "primary constraint" to pursuing opportunities of over-the-road conversions.
"We elected not to chase growth that would have required expensive third-party dray when pricing was not yet supportive of the incremental cost," he said.
And Brad Stewart, treasurer and SVP of investor relations at Knight-Swift, said: "While outside drayage service is affected by the constrained driver market, we outsource only a low single-digit percentage of our drayage needs, which should provide some insulation from the tightening in drayage capacity."
The National Drayage Spot Market Index is 8.2% up year on year, and is expected to remain elevated this month, amid warnings of continued pressure on equipment availability, driver capacity, terminal turn times, and appointment flexibility.
One factor in the equation is the peak season, which manifested itself in container dwell rates at the port complex of Los Angeles and Long Beach rising in August to their highest level in over 15 months.
Brian Kobza, CCO of drayage and landside logistics provider IMC Logistics, which has stations at all major intermodal points in the US, described this year's peak as "plateaued" - more extended with less of a pronounced spike, which kicked off earlier than usual and is still going on. Some predictions see it running as far as China's Golden Week in early October.
This year, volumes have received an additional boost from industrial traffic - largely AI-related shipments of hardware and materials for data centres, plus power equipment to meet the voracious need for electricity, noted Paul Brashier, VP of global supply chain at ITS Logistics.
This has added to the number of ports that are dealing with elevated import volumes. Mr Brashier named Houston as a "big pain point".
"The amount of freight we're moving from the port of Houston is phenomenal - retail, industrial, energy, projects," he said.
Mr Kobza named a number of locations where he saw signs of congestion and elevated dwell times, including Chicago and Memphis (two notorious bottlenecks for rail freight), as well as Atlanta, Jacksonville, and Savannah.
And traffic at Dallas/Fort Worth has been the busiest in years, according to Mr Brashier.
However, at this point the stress points are relatively manageable, Mr Kobza said.
"We're seeing stresses in supply chains, warning signs that it could get worse," he added. Dwell times for import containers waiting at ports for inland transport have climbed to 6-7 days on average, but at some terminals they are up to 14 days, he said.
Strain on the network has been increased by more domestic intermodal traffic, a result of the rise in truckload pricing and the shrinkage of trucking capacity, precipitated by the federal government's clampdown on non-domiciled drivers and truckers with insufficient command of English, which is decimating the driver pool.
This is exacerbating the situation in the drayage market, as some drivers have shifted to the truckload sector, Mr Kobza noted.
Mr Brashier suggested this was not a novel phenomenon. Traditionally, peak seasons have caused some driver shifts from drayage to truckload, but this did not play out in recent years when trucking rates were depressed because of overcapacity and sluggish demand, he said.
One additional factor that could impact the situation is the low water level of the Panama Canal which has triggered restrictions in daily transits, threatening backlogs on its west side, Mr Kobza noted.
"The canal has the potential to become a larger issue, but at this point it's just another delay in the overall supply chain," he commented.
He advises cargo owners to "build some float" into their supply chain schedules, to diversify their supplier base as much as possible, and to do due diligence on their drayage and landside providers.
"Make sure you have emergency plans for access to dray capacity - and keep an eye on Houston," Mr Brashier said.